Fantasy Roundtable: Week 10
Welcome to the Fighting Chance Roundtable! Each week we will be asking our panel of Fighting Chance Staff a series of questions for the upcoming slate of NFL games. Each person will give you the best answer to the question in order to help set your lineups this week, both season long and DFS. This week we have myself (@fightingchance), Steve Rapin (@fantasygeek37), Kari Thomas (@12ozcurlsports), Brian Drake (@drakefantasy). Give them a follow them on Twitter and enjoy the Week 10 Roundtable!
Sleeper of the Week
Ryan's Pick - Maurice Harris, WR Washington Redskins. Jamison Crowder is still only practicing on a limited basis, and Josh Doctson hasn’t impressed me yet. This leaves another opportunity for Harris to shine again in Week 10. The Bucs pass defense has been next to awful all season long, and even noodle armed Alex Smith should be able to torch them all day. Look for seven catches and a touchdown for Harris this week.
Kari's Pick - Maurice Harris, WR Washington Redskins. Maurice Harris is setup for a big day against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense. The Redskins have lost Paul Richardson Jr for the season and Jamison Crowder’s status is still up in the air. I seriously doubt that Crowder returns but even if he does, it would be on a limited basis as he’s missed a month of playing time and has only been taking part in individual drills to this point this week. In addition to those two, Chris Thompson has already been ruled out and is a target hog when he is on the field. I think this sets Harris up for a solid fantasy day against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
Steve's Pick - Mike Davis, RB Seattle Seahawks. With Chris Carson iffy to play against the Rams, I think Mike Davis could be in for a very nice game. In Week 4 when Carson sat out, Davis had 21 attempts for 101 yards and two touchdowns. Last week with Carson leaving early, Davis had 15 rushes for 62 yards, but also had seven receptions for 45 yards on eight targets. The Rams are dead last in rush defense allowing 144.3 rushing yards per game, so I think this is a very nice spot for Davis to excel.
Drake's Pick - Quincy Enunwa, WR NY Jets. The Jets have to throw to someone now that McCown is in at QB. Enunwa is actually playing more snaps outside than in the slot. If Robby Anderson is out then expect Enunwa to be a target hog.
Bust of the Week
Ryan's Pick - David Johnson, RB Arizona Cardinals. I really hope this isn’t true, but I don’t like the prospects of DJ this week. The Chiefs are so likely to absolutely murder the Cardinals that I don’t know that the Cardinals will be running the ball for long. Hopefully (since I own him in multiple leagues) he can rack up some receptions, but I am playing Johnson with absolutely zero confidence this week.
Kari's Pick - Jordan Howard, RB Chicago Bears. Jordan Howard’s fantasy value has been buoyed by touchdowns over the last few weeks. I think this is the week that his touchdown streak ends against the Lions. The Bears will likely use Tarik Cohen more in this game as it will be tougher sledding than last weekend against a bad Bills defense.
Steve's Pick - Joe Mixon, RB Cincinnati Bengals. It pains me to put Joe Mixon on this list, but he's going against the Saints defense who is second in the NFL against the run, giving up only 95 total yards per game to opposing running backs. Add that to the fact that Gio Bernard is likely to return which could take some receiving work away from Mixon, and I think this is a week that he doesn't quite live up to expectations.
Drake's Pick - Ezekiel Elliot, RB Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles run defense is no joke. The Cowboys totally abandoned Zeke in the 2nd half last week. Expect more of the same if they trail big in Philly.
Adam Humphries or Harris Maurice Harris?
Ryan's Pick - To me this comes down to opportunity. Humphries has been good the past two weeks, but he is on a team with multiple viable targets. Mike Evans (well, not last week, but usually), DeSean Jackson, OJ Howard, and even Chris Godwin should be in front of Humphries most weeks in the chain of targets. The Redskins have dealt with a myriad of injuries, which should give Harris the chance to continue to be successful. Fantasy football is often about opportunity, and the opportunity is shining on Maurice Harris.
Kari's Pick - While Adam Humphries has had a couple of solid fantasy weeks in a row, there are so many more weapons on this Buccaneers offense and I don’t think that Humphries will continue to boom the way he has the last two weeks. Maurice Harris is set up for success in an offense that is missing key components in Jamison Crowder, Paul Richardson Jr, and Chris Thompson. Pair that with Josh Doctson’s butterfingers and it’s a recipe for fantasy success.
Steve's Pick - Last week Adam Humphries became a "thing" and that was predicated largely by the fact he scored two touchdowns. However, in terms of the Tampa offense he has been a "thing" for the last few weeks as he's been targeted nine, ten, and eight times in their last three games. Compare that Maurice Harris who before last week's monster 12 target game, never topped four targets in the three games prior. The Tampa offense is fourth in the NFL in passing attempts per game while the Skins are 19th, so with Adam Humphries moving up in the pecking order, I'm liking him more and more over the rest of the season.
Drake's Pick - Adam Humphries- Targets, catches, touchdowns. That’s what Adam Humphries has given you the past few weeks. He’s playing more snaps than Chris Godwin and gets fantastic matchups. Harris to me needs Crowder out to be viable.
Elijah McGuire, Duke Johnson or Theo Riddick?
Ryan's Pick - I am definitely all aboard the Duke Johnson train. With the ousting of the Hue Jackson and Todd Haley we knew that there were going to be changes with the Browns offense. And through one week the arrow on Duke Johnson is trending hugely in the positive direction. Duke has the ability to have 40-45 catches in the second half of the season. I am still not a huge fan of McGuire, and while I like Riddick, he has had a hard time staying healthy.
Kari's Pick - Duke Johnson’s usage in the passing game makes him the top rank for me. He has a coaching staff that realizes that they have a solid piece of the offense in Johnson and will utilize him going forward and hopefully win some games. His next two games are juicy as they’re against the Falcons and the Bengals. He should have solid fantasy days in those two and beyond. McGuire’s role in the Jets offense is solid but the offense is so bad that he didn’t deserve the top spot in my rankings here. Darnold will miss some time with an injury so Josh McCown will be in at quarterback and I see the team passing more often with him under center. Finally, Theo Riddick is on a crowded backfield and should be fazed out of the offense entirely in my opinion (the Lions haven’t asked me though). The fact that LeGarrette Blount is used for goal line work and Kerryon Johnson has looked so good should cause fantasy owners to pause and think before starting Riddick in any fantasy format.
Steve's Pick - The New York Jets coaches have spoken high praise about Elijah McGuire and with Bilal Powell out for the season, he has the opportunity to shine for the Jets. In his first game back he was on the field for 55% of the snaps compared to only 35% for Isaiah Crowell, so while Crow out-touched him, I think McGuire is in for more work going forward. He also saw five targets in his first game, so he could get plenty of work in passing down situations. He's the most physically talented of the trio and while Duke and Riddick will have their role in the passing game, McGuire could get both a decent amount of carries as well as receiving work and that solidifies my decision.
Drake's Pick - McGuire is the only one who is going to get regular carries. That’s a huge leg up. He’s the best weekly play of the three backs. Other two are 3rd down game flow backs.