Fighting Chance Fantasy Mock Draft ADP
It is now August and that means if you haven't started your fantasy football prep, you better get your ass in gear, because you're running out of time. A good place to get started in your research is by doing a good ol' mock draft. That way you can get an idea of where players are being selected at each position.
Don't have time to do a mock draft? Well, we at Fighting Chance Fantasy have you covered! We have been holding weekly mock drafts over the past month with some of the best and brightest minds in the fantasy football industry and now that we have four mocks in the books, it's time to aggregate the data and share it with you.
I have included what order each position has gone in our mocks (Mock Rank), as well as what their ADP has been (Mock ADP). As a comparator, I am also including what each players' rank is currently on fantasyfootballcalculator.com (FFC Rank) as well as their ADP on that site (FFC ADP). When you see an ADP of 6.10, that means his average draft position is the tenth pick in the sixth round.
Hopefully by doing this, you can see some trends from the experts in our mocks that you can exploit in your own drafts. Maybe "Player A" is going in round eight among the general public on Fantasy Football Calculator, but going in the sixth round by our experts. You can use this to look into "Player A" a little closer and maybe get the jump on that player in your own personal league. You can also see what players those in the industry are not as high on as the public, and maybe decide to pass on them if you see fit. I have included notes after each grouping to point out some of those differences.
Experts that have taken part in our draft have come from the following sites:
Fighting Chance Fantasy
Her Fantasy Football
Fantasy Six Pack
Big Guy Fantasy Sports
Fantasy Friends with Benefits
So Called Fantasy Experts
Bets Like a Girl
You can follow me on Twitter @fantasygeek37.
- Andrew Luck has been the fourth quarterback off the board in our drafts on average, but he has fallen considerably since news surfaced that he may miss week one. In our first two mocks, he went on average with the 60th pick (5.12), but the last two, he has gone 84th (7.12), two full rounds lower.
- With all of the new toys at his disposal, our experts are expecting big things out of Marcus Mariota this season.
- Drafters on Fantasy Football Calculator love Derek Carr much more than where he has been taken in our drafts. He has been in the news this offseason as he signed a new contract, but with Marshawn Lynch in town, the Raiders may try to run the ball a bit more this season.
- Ben Roethlisberger is also going a little later in our drafts as well. Rumors of his retirement, mixed with his horrendous home/road splits, looks to be giving some pause when it comes to drafting him.
- David Johnson has been taken number one and Le'Veon Bell number two in all four of our mock drafts.
- Jay Ajayi is going before DeMarco Murray and Jordan Howard among our experts, while going after them on Fantasy Football Calculator. It is splitting hairs, but something to note in your draft prep.
- Carlos Hyde is being drafted about a round higher in our mocks than on the Calculator. There has been a lot of talk this offseason about the running backs in San Francisco, but it doesn't seem to be scaring the experts very much.
- Ty Montgomery is being drafted as the RB16 in the late third round on FFC, but as the RB19 in the mid fifth round in our mocks. Maybe they have concerns about whether he can hold up and withstand the role of every down running back.
- Mark Ingram has been the RB21 in our drafts and RB28 on the Calculator. Looks like our experts think he's going to play a major role in offense this season.
- Danny Woodhead is going much higher on the Calculator than among our experts. When healthy, he could be a nice value. However, health is always a concern for Danny Woodhead.
- Doug Martin and Jacquizz Rodgers are being drafted by our experts about two rounds later than they are on Fantasy Football Calculator. The uncertainty of what will happen after Doug Martin comes back from serving his three game suspension may be scaring off a few people.
- Frank Gore is going over a round earlier on the Calculator than where the experts are selecting him. Maybe they think this is finally the year he breaks down. In our mocks, Marlon Mack is going over two rounds earlier among our experts than on FFC, and that would back up that assumption.
- One player the industry seems to be drafting higher than those on Fantasy Football Calculator is Latavius Murray, as he is going seven rank spots and over a round earlier. He could definitely vulture some goal line duties and provide nice value later in drafts.
- Even though I may be higher on Jamaal Charles than some, the other experts in our mocks don't seem to feel the same way, as he is going almost two full rounds later than on the Calculator. His injury history and role in the offense is definitely a concern and something to monitor this preseason.
|Odell Beckham Jr||WR2||1.04||WR3||1.06|
- In the top 25, there aren't many glaring differences to point out. Probably the largest thing is that experts seem to be higher on Terrelle Pryor than the general public. He's moved up to the WR12 in our drafts and is now bordering dangerously close to a second round pick.
- Allen Robinson is going as the WR14 in our drafts compared to WR19 on Fantasy Football Calculator. He had a rough season in 2016, but there is optimism in the industry that a rebound could be in store for him.
- Demaryius Thomas is the player with the largest discrepancy where the Calculator is higher than our experts. He is four spots lower on FFC and is about as consistent as they come.
- It looks like if you want Tyreek Hill, you will have to draft him as a low end WR2 in the middle of the fourth round, as that's where he's going on both.
- Kelvin Benjamin is the WR26 in our drafts and going as the WR32 on Fantasy Football Calculator. Weight has been an issue for him, but the industry doesn't seem to be very concerned about it.
- Donte Moncrief is the WR27 in our drafts, but WR34 on the Calculator. I think Andrew Luck's shoulder injury is giving some people a little concern.
- Eric Decker and Rishard Matthews are going a full two rounds higher in our drafts than on the Calculator. It looks like we are expecting big things from the Tennessee offense in 2017.
- Martavis Bryant is being drafted in the fourth round on Fantasy Football Calculator compared to the sixth round of our drafts. It will be interesting to see what happens to his value when, or if, he is given full re-instatement by the NFL.
- Mike Williams ADP on ours is still being effected by our small sample size. He has not been drafted since word of the seriousness of his injury has surfaced.
|Ted Ginn Jr.||WR67||12.06||WR63||13.11|
- Our guys are expecting somewhat of a breakout for Breshad Perriman this year as he's going 12 spots and three full rounds earlier in our drafts. Pay attention to him this preseason as he has a lot of upside.
- Quincy Enunwa is going two and a half rounds later in our drafts. I think there is fear this Jets offense is going to be putrid this season.
- Taylor Gabriel is also going later in our drafts than on Fantasy Football Calculator. A new offensive coordinator may mean a change in his production. Whether is will be a good or bad change remains to be determined.
- Kyle Rudolph is being drafted as the TE5 in our drafts, two and a half rounds earlier in our drafts. Tim Heaney called him "Rudolph the Red Zone Reindeer", as last season Rudolph led all tight ends in red zone targets.
- Hunter Henry is also going much earlier in our expert drafts and it looks like some may be expecting a big second year leap in production.
- Julius Thomas is the most glaring difference, as he is being drafted ten spots, and four rounds earlier in our drafts than on Fantasy Football Calculator. Coaching changes are always important to note, and now that Thomas is in Miami, he is reunited with former coach, Adam Gase. Thomas was very good with Gase as he had two seasons scoring 12 touchdowns when they were together in Denver.
- Drafters on the Calculator are much higher on Delanie Walker and Martellus Bennett than in our industry drafts, so take note of that as well.