Fighting Chance Fantasy Roundtable - Week 16


Welcome to the Week 16 Fighting Chance Fantasy Roundtable! Let's get to our panel and this week's burning questions. Follow Ryan (@fightingchance), Brian Drake (@drakefantasy), Gary Haddow (@garyhaddow1), and Kevin Tompkins (@ktompkinsii)

Sleeper

Ryan says - Tre'Quan Smith, WR NO. His volume is very low, but Smith is healthy, he clearly has trust with Drew Brees, and he has scored in three of the last four weeks. He also has a dream matchup against the terrible Titans secondary and has a great chance of finding the end zone again. 

Kevin says - Drew Lock, QB DEN. Lock has a bad hand dealt to him last week in the snow at Arrowhead versus the Chiefs, but he gets a juicy matchup with Detroit that makes him a very viable streamer option. Lock is only two weeks removed from a quality start where he had 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. I like him to crack the top 12 this week.

Drake says - Damien Williams, RB KC.  Remember him? The Chiefs running back who was going in the second round of drafts in August is going to save your title hopes. LeSean McCoy is a ghost. Darwin Thompson is a Smurf. Darrel Williams is (pour one out) on IR. Welcome back Damien. The door is open for a massive workout in a shootout spot vs the Bears.

Gary says - Greg Ward, WR PHI. The entire fantasy community says Mike Boone, so I am going to pivot and say Greg Ward. He is THE only receiver for the Eagles against a Cowboys team who will put up points. I am not sure what else to expect.

Bust 

Ryan says - Derrick Henry, RB TEN. He has been great this year, but he popped up on the injury report late, and the Saints are one of the better rushing defenses in the league and could hold Henry in check for Week 16. 

Kevin says - D.J. Moore, WR CAR. It wouldn’t surprise me if D.J. Moore just blew up this week against the Colts secondary but it’s so hard to trust him with Will Grier now entrenched as the starter in Carolina. We have no idea what to expect out of him, and with Curtis Samuel hobbled, could allow defenses to key in even more of on Moore.

Drake says - Baker Mayfield, QB CLE. This team just stinks. The receivers don't want to be there. The coach is lost. The offense has no identity. This is going to get ugly fast vs the smoking hot Ravens.

Gary says - Miles Sanders, RB PHI. Why would I expect a solid Dallas Cowboys defense to soften against the run when all they can defense is Ertz, Goedert, and Ward? In fact, I would ask them to sell out against the run, bracket Ertz, and tell Goedert and Ward to do your worst! So here we are. Sanders may have gotten you here, but I would not trust him to bring it home.

Which running back that struggled last week is in for the biggest bounce back in Week 16...Leonard Fournette (at ATL), Melvin Gordon (vs OAK) or Marlon Mack (vs CAR)?

Ryan says - Marlon Mack. MARLON MACK!!!!  The Panthers are the absolute worst defense against the run and they have allowed an embarrassing 26 rushing touchdowns in 14 games. The Colts are eliminated from the playoffs, and Mack has been banged up, but he will be in all of my DFS lineups this week.

Kevin says - Marlon Mack. There’s no bigger “get right” spot than against the depleted Carolina front. If Mack can’t bounce back here, then something is wrong. I’d certainly hope the Colts use more of Mack seeing as how mediocre Jacoby Brissett has been the second half of the season.

Drake says - Leonard Fournette. I'm curious to see if the post-Coughlin era breathes life into the Jags. Marrone is fighting for his job and his best shot at winning is feeding Fournette. Besides his rushing prowess, Big Len has been gobbling up targets like his name is McCaffery.

Gary says - Melvin Gordon. I am always going to default to MelGo and his ability to crush his opponent. Fournette and Mack have had crappy play and injury make me doubt them. Oakland sucks on defense so don’t let fumbling cramp his 2019 style, even though he is gone in 2020.

Which (fantasy) undrafted wide receiver will have the biggest Week 16 performance...Greg Ward (at DAL), Chris Conley (at ATL), or Danny Amendola (at DEN)?

Ryan says - Greg Ward. I often say that fantasy football is often about opportunity, and Ward has it. The Eagles receivers are just in shambles, and he is now their number one guy. He has been targeted nine times in each of the last two weeks, and although he has a tough matchup against the Cowboys secondary, just on sheer volume alone he should succeed. 

Kevin says - Greg Ward. I believe in him as late season darling, he’s gotten a solid target share, been productive with it, and now, in a must win game at Dallas, should have the opportunity to solidify a place in the Eagles offense not just now, but for the foreseeable future. I like him over “been there, done that” options Chris Conley and Danny Amendola.

Drake says - Greg Ward. Call me a homer it's fine. Ward has nine targets in each of his last two games. He's the best wide receiver the Eagles have at this point (my goodness that's terrible). With the Cowboys lining up Byron Jones on Zach Ertz in clutch situations, I like Ward to be a decent WR3. Let's say 70 yards and a 60% shot at scoring.

Gary says - Greg Ward. Personal bias being inserted: Greg Ward is about to crush. The ATL defense has been solid so I’m not sure about Conley. The Denver defense has been awesome especially given the quarterback talent. So Ward as Wentz’s WR1, I’ll happily take that in what should be ono paper a shoot out.

If you're looking to save a little money in a FanDuel GPP this week, which cheaper tight end is the best option...Dallas Goedert vs DAL ($5,900), Jacob Hollister vs ARI ($5,700), or Jonnu Smith vs NO ($5,400)?

Ryan says - Jacob Hollister. His targets have been dwindling by the week, but he is playing the Cardinals who gave up two touchdowns last week to freaking Ricky Seals-Jones. Case closed, go with Hollister.

Gary says - Jacob Hollister. He plays Arizona. That’s it. Goedert is a possibility but I prefer the Arizona defense.

Drake says - Dallas Goedert. He's performed very well vs Dallas that last few outings. With a touchdown in the prior meeting and a 75 yard score last year at Dallas (wiped away by a horrific penalty), Goedert has shown he can get open vs Big D. With all of the attention on Ertz, I love Goedert this week.

Kevin says - Jacob Hollister. Death. Taxes. Play your tight ends against the Arizona Cardinals. He’s the safest option of the three with the highest floor and ceiling.

 


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