NFL Betting Lines: Our Best Bets Against The Spread
Follow me on Twitter @Kayvon_Sports
Football is back and Fighting Chance Fantasy is bringing you a weekly betting analysis you didn’t know you needed......until now!
From Week 1 to Super Bowl 55, I will bring that fearless Las Vegas mindset to your Sunday slate of NFL games.
Each week I will predict my favorite NFL picks against the spread.
Forecasting NFL games is a challenge within itself due to the parity of the league but add the fluid situation of COVID-19 to the mix and out comes the unique gambling scene for the 2020 NFL season.
The best approach to an unpredictable season requires staying on top of the trends and storylines while taking things week by week.
This weekly article will be a resource for you to do just that, and also give you a chance to pad your wallet.
Enough of me talking, let’s have some fun!
All point spreads come from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Las Vegas Raiders at Carolina Panthers
Line: Raiders -3 | Total: 47.5
Jon Gruden is one of the best coaches in the NFL when given an extended amount of time to prepare for a game. With no preseason games, Gruden was able to turn his attention to Carolina from the beginning of training camp. While I like some of the moving pieces the Panthers have on the offensive side of the ball, defensively they are a mess. The Panthers allowed a league worst 31 rushing touchdowns last year. I don’t see much changing this season, at least not at the beginning of the year. Give me the Raiders to win their first game as the Las Vegas RAIDERRRRRRRRRS! (In my best Chris Berman voice).
Kayvon’s Pick: Raiders -2.5
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons
Line: Falcons +2.5 | Total: 49
If you bet on the Seahawks last year, you were very likely on the edge of your seat every game. They won 11 games and 10 of those wins were by one possession, in large part due to Russell Wilson’s heroic effort in the 4th quarter. The Falcons ended last season on a high note. Winning their last 4 games and 6 of their last 8. They kept the momentum rolling in the offseason by adding game changers like Todd Gurley on offense and Dante Fowler Jr. on defense. Matt Ryan is 6-2 in his career against Seattle with 16 touchdowns to 4 interceptions and a passer rating of 100.1. If your feeling bold take the Falcons to win outright.
Kayvon’s Pick: Falcons +2.5
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Line: Vikings -2.5 | Total: 45
The Vikings opened as 3.5-point home favorites versus their NFC North counterparts for Sunday’s Week 1 matchup, but the Packers are now just a 2.5-point underdog. The total has also seen movement here, opening at 47 before dropping to 45. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams and is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings in Minnesota. I do think it’s noteworthy to point out that there will be no fans in the stadium on Sunday. That could hinder the Vikings defense against a great signal caller like Aaron Rodgers but I’m sticking to the numbers here. Give me a hard-fought old-school showdown between two teams that love to run the ball.
Kayvon’s Pick: Under 45
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Line: Cardinals +6.5 | Total: 48
Most people look at this matchup and immediately want to take the 49ers because of their outstanding play last year, and that is not a bad thought process. If you are putting your hard-earned money on the line, you owe it to yourself to dive a little deeper. The Cardinals lost both games to the 49ers last year by a combined 13 points, playing them down to the wire in both games. The Cardinals finished the season with the fifth-best record against the spread during the regular season. Kyler Murray heads into year two, a popular year as of late for QB’s to take a massive leap. Lucky for him, he has a shiny new weapon in Deandre Hopkins that can help push that leap forward. This is a rare early season divisional matchup between two teams that know each other very well. I expect the Cardinals to keep this game close.
Kayvon’s Pick: Arizona +7
Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos
Line: Titans -3 | Total: 46
A large part of this wacky season will have to do with organizational and coaching leadership. Teams that hold their players accountable with inevitably have the most success. Mike Vrabel instantly comes to mind when I think of coaches that demand that sentiment. He will have his team ready to go Monday night. Denver made some good moves on offense and appears to be going all in on Drew Lock, but I need to see more from him before I jump on that ship. This week the Broncos lost their best defensive asset while the Titans gained theirs. Losing a player of value like Von Miller can really put a damper in a young team’s mindset. I am not sure that Denver will be ready to go right out the gates, and they won’t have their loyal fans to pick them up. Give me Mike Vrabel and the Titans here.
Kayvon’s Pick: Titans -3
Check back in weekly to follow my win lose record throughout the season. Find out what I predicted correctly or what I may have missed the mark on. This season may be unpredictable and is certainly unlike any other in the past, but that doesn’t mean we can’t make picks, place bets, and have fun.