The DFS Drive: Week 16
Week 15 was a tough one. The studs that carried you all year went silent and the Derrick Henry’s of the world knocked out your Saquon Barkley led teams leaving a sour taste in your mouth. Luckily, Fantasy Sports Headquarters has you covered to jump right back into action as we look forward to this Week 16 DFS slate.
In the DFS industry, after getting burned by a player you say to yourself “There is no way that player is going to find his way into my lineup next week!” Instead of crossing the guys off the list this week, let’s take a look at some of the underperformers from last week in good bounce back spots.
Drew Brees vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
$6,500 DraftKings / $8,400 FanDuel
If Brees was your season long quarterback and you made it to the championship game, it was not because of him. Coming off a 203 yard performance with zero touchdowns, the Saints quarterback finally returns home after a three game road trip. The home and road splits are true for Brees, especially this year. He has been “lights out” at home throwing for 20 touchdowns and one interception including tossing four in each of his last three games.
The Pittsburgh defense is nothing to bat an eye at, but over the past four games they have been susceptible to the passing game allowing an average of 274.3 yards and 1.8 touchdowns per contest. With the highest point total of the week, the number one playoff seed on the line and the MVP candidate back on his home turf, I am looking for Brees to lead the “WHO DAT” chant and bounce back in a big way.
Dak Prescott vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$5,700 DraftKings / $7,300 FanDuel
The Cowboys hype train came to a screeching halt last week after laying a big goose egg against Indianapolis. Dak has been up and down this season but since the acquisition of Amari Cooper he has been more consistent. Over his past four games (three in which were at home) Prescott is averaging 299.5 yards on 38 pass attempts including a 455 yard effort against the Eagles in Week 14.
He has a great matchup this week against a weak Buccaneers’ defense which ranks 29th against quarterbacks this year allowing 258.5 yards per game while surrendering 28.8 points. As Dallas looks to secure a division title, I’ll look to Dak and the boys to get back on track in Jerry’s house.
Saquon Barkley at Indianapolis Colts
$7,900 DraftKings / $9,000 FanDuel
The Giants did Giants things again last week as they limited their Rookie of the Year candidate to 31 yards on 14 carries. The weather conditions were not ideal, but you would figure they would lean on their best player a little more. However, he did get 10 targets but was only able to convert four into receptions.
New York draws a mediocre matchup this week against the Colts but you would expect Barkley to get his fair share of volume. Despite holding Ezekiel Elliott in check last week he still managed seven catches for 41 yards. Indianapolis ranks second only behind the Falcons this year in receptions to the running back at seven per game for 54 yards. At just $7,900 on DraftKings he could exceed his price tag as their scoring is full point PPR.
Back-to-back shutouts are unlikely in the NFL these days, and if the Giants are to score Barkley will be their best option to reach the end zone on Sunday.
Mark Ingram vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
$5,100 DraftKings / $6,600 FanDuel
It seemed like everything went wrong for the Saints on Monday, but they were still able to come away with the victory against the Panthers. As mentioned before with Brees, I look for the Saints to get back on track this week in a huge matchup against the Steelers. Ingram is most effective when the Saints are in high scoring games and favored. This matchup features the only game total over 50 points and New Orleans is favored by 5.5. Sounds like a recipe for success as I look for Brees to put the Saints up early and Ingram to milk away the victory on the ground.
JuJu Smith-Schuster at New Orleans Saints
$8,000 DraftKings / $8,000 FanDuel
JuJu disappointed last week, but it’s not like he did not have the opportunity. He was targeted 10 times but only managed four catches for 40 yards. Over his past five games, Smith-Schuster has been targeted no less than nine times and has eclipsed the 100 yard mark in three of those contests.
This week, he draws the best matchup that money can buy. The Saints are ranked dead last in yards allowed to opposing receivers at 203 yards per contest and the Steelers have one of the most dynamic receiving corps in the NFL. Smith-Schuster and Antonio Brown are set up to have monster days in New Orleans but I will take the price discount on JuJu this week.
Amari Cooper vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$7,500 DraftKings / $7,000 FanDuel
Cooper and the Cowboys return home and look to get back in the win column against a dreadful Tampa Bay defense. All the stars align for Cooper this week to return to form. As mentioned with Dak, their performance at home is night and day difference. In his past three home games, he has racked up 472 yards on 26 catches with five touchdowns. Tampa Bay has been better of late defending the wide receiver position, but has allowed 13 receptions and 1.4 touchdowns on the season. With Dak having a limited amount of weapons, I’ll take Cooper in a great bounce back spot this week.
Zach Ertz vs. Houston Texans
$5,900 DraftKings / $7,400 FanDuel
Ertz is coming off back-to-back disappointing performances as he has eight receptions in his past two games. Houston might be just what he needs to get back on track. The Texans are allowing a healthy 5.3 receptions to tight ends over the past four games for 76.5 yards including scores in three of their last five games. You have to pay a hefty price for Ertz but he is my favorite tight end of the high priced guys this week.
Cameron Brate at Dallas Cowboys
$3,900 DraftKings / $5,400 FanDuel
Here is my low priced, dumpster fire tight end to rebound in Week 16. Since Garrett Celek led tight ends in scoring last week, I think anyone qualifies. If I am going to dip into the low price range this week, I’m going to peg Brate to be my guy. He may be touchdown dependent, but he does draw a favorable matchup against the Cowboys. In two of the past four weeks, opposing tight ends have seen eight and nine targets. The Tampa Bay tight end also has six touchdowns on the year and is one of Winston’s main guys he looks to in the red zone.
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