The DFS Drive: Week 17
How fast did this season go? It seems like just yesterday we were preparing for our drafts, right? As most season long fantasy leagues wrapped up last week, the DFS action continues throughout the playoffs. For playoff DFS, the slates will be much smaller and focused more on single games, so this will be our last full slate of the year.
We over at Fantasy Sports Headquarters have you covered for all playoff content, but let’s take a look at the final week’s slate. Week 17 often times sees reduced playing time for stars so targeting players who get a full workload is essential. This week I will focus on some low-owned cheap options that you can target in your tournament lineups.
Derek Carr at Kansas City Chiefs
$5,100 DraftKings / $6,800 FanDuel
Carr is taking on a Chiefs defense that has been gifting quarterbacks big games lately. In their last two games they have allowed 584 yards through the air and five scores. The Raiders quarterback has been better in his past four games with a quarterback rating of 106.2 and six touchdowns. In their Week 13 matchup, Carr threw for 285 yards and three touchdowns against the league’s 29th ranked pass defense. Oakland comes into the game as 14 point underdogs, so Carr and the crew will be in catch up mode, meaning a better opportunity to rack up useless yards in a wasted season for the Raiders. At his price, if he can manage a few touchdowns he should be able to hit value.
Peyton Barber vs. Atlanta Falcons
$3,600 DraftKings / $5,500 FanDuel
Barber’s price really has not moved at all this year. As a starting running back who averages nearly 15 rushes and 54 yards per game, his salary is simply too cheap to pass up this week against the Falcons 31st ranked rush defense. On the season, Atlanta is allowing 98 yards rushing and 65 yards receiving to opposing running backs. Barber is not known as Tampa Bay’s pass catching back, but he did snag four balls in their Week 6 matchup with the Falcons. He has also received over 15 carries in five of his last six games. If Barber can real in a few catches and reach the endzone, he is a nice value that could be overlooked.
Brian Hill at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$3,900 DraftKings / $5,300 FanDuel
On the other side of the ball, Atlanta’s Brian Hill is an interesting value play as well. He saw his first real playing time of the season last week and made it count, rushing for 115 yards on eight carries. The Falcons’ backfield depth looks like a graveyard as they lost Ito Smith for the season and Tevan Coleman is currently listed as questionable. Hill could be in for a heavy workload this week if Coleman is out, but he still has value even if he suits up. Tampa Bay has allowed 110 yards rushing and 5.5 receptions to running backs over their past four games so the second year back will find his way on to a few of my tournament lineups this weekend.
Ted Ginn, Jr. vs Carolina Panthers
$3,600 DraftKings / $4,800 FanDuel
Ginn returned from injury last week and slid right back into his old role snagging five balls on eight targets for 74 yards. In Week 16, he was third on the team in wide receiver snap percentages at 41% and as New Orleans gears up towards the playoffs I see that number increasing this week. The Carolina secondary has been torched by wide receivers all season allowing 175 yards and a little over a touchdown per game. Before his injury, Ginn was priced in the mid-$4,000 range on DraftKings and mid-$6,000 range on FanDuel so you are getting a nice discount on him this week.
Jake Kumerow vs Detroit Lions
$3,000 DraftKings / $5,300 FanDuel
Kumerow has seen an increased workload lately as his offensive snap count has risen each of the past three weeks from 6 to 21 and up to 57 last week. He was able to catch all three of his targets for 68 yards including a touchdown against the Jets and faces another good matchup against the Lions 25th ranked defense against opposing wide receivers. As the Packers evaluate their receivers heading into the offseason, Kumerow has potential to put up a solid stat line in the final week of the season.
Chris Herndon at New England Patriots
$3,400 DraftKings / $5,800 FanDuel
After two straight disappointing weeks, Herndon turned in a six catch 82 yard performance with a touchdown last week against the Packers. His matchup this week is mediocre against the Patriots, but the Jets have already ruled out Quincy Enunwa and Jermaine Kerarse meaning an increase target share for the Jets tight end. New York is 13.5 underdogs at the moment and if the Jets are playing from behind, Herndon could be the beneficiary of short dump off passes as their passing options are limited. I prefer his salary much more on DraftKings, but he is also a great low-owned option on FanDuel.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$2,600 DraftKings / $3,300 FanDuel
As bad as the Falcons have been as a team this year, their defense has been a viable option the past few weeks. Sacks, interceptions and touchdowns are what I like to target when choosing a defense and Atlanta has averaged 3.8 sacks and 1.3 interceptions over their past four games. Jameis Winston has not been known to be a “protector of the ball” and as a whole, the Buccaneers have allowed 40 sacks on the season. Their pricing on both sites is one of my top values and if they can force Winston into a few turnovers they should have no problem paying off their price.
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