Week 11 Roundtable
Welcome to the Fighting Chance Roundtable! Each week we will be asking our panel of Fighting Chance Staff a series of questions for the upcoming slate of NFL games. Each person will give you the best answer to the question in order to help set your lineups this week, both season long and DFS. This week we have myself (@fightingchance), Steve Rapin (@fantasygeek37), Jim Day (@fantasytaz),Kacey Kasem (@thekaceykasem), Brian Drake (@drakefantasy). Give them a follow them on Twitter and enjoy the Week 11 Roundtable!
Sleeper of the Week
Jim’s Pick - Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys. Over the last month Prescott has been a QB 1 in fantasy, averaging more points a game than Drew Brees, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. He hasn’t been outrageous through the sir, only throwing 6 TDs in his last 4 starts, but he has added 3 rushing touchdowns in those games. This week he goes against an Atlanta defense that has been terrible and are ranked 30th against opposing QBs in points allowed per game. I’m looking for 250+ passing yards, 2 touchdowns and another 30 yards and a score rushing.
Kacey’s Pick - Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens. Look, maybe he doesn’t play, but my feeling is that Joe Flacco won’t be able to go and we’ll get to feast our eyes on Jackson under center. They’re playing the Bengals who are notorious for giving up passing yards and passing touchdowns. The Bengals defense also has the fun stat of being the team to give up the most fantasy football points to quarterbacks they face this season. If Jackson is the guy who gets the start, look for him to rack up those points with his athleticism. There was a reason they drafted him in the first round. Sorry, Joe, you may have to go.
Steve’s Pick - Doug Martin, RB, Oakland Raiders. I can’t believe I’m doing this. I really can’t. I am not a fan of Doug Martin, but he has played well since Oakland lost Marshawn Lynch for the season a month ago. In the three games he’s started, he’s averaged 4.7 yards per carry and is matched up against a Cardinals defense who is 31st in the league against the run. While he doesn’t have the huge upside like some, I think Martin should be in for a very nice week in sunny Arizona.
Brian’s Pick - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions. The Lions are without Marvin Jones and they traded Golden Tate so Riddick is essentially their slot WR. Last week he caught 6 for 60yds. Combine that with his dirt cheap price on DFS sites and you have the ultimate sleeper. Play him and pay up for WRs.
Ryan’s Pick – Seth Roberts, WR, Oakland Raiders. With all of their receivers banged up this week, SOMEONE has to catch the ball don’t they? Raiders are far from a high powered offense, but Roberts has been around a while and I think could be a sneaky good play this week.
Bust of the Week
Kacey’s Pick - Jared Cook,TE, Oakland Raiders. The tight end landscape is pretty pathetic this season, but Jared Cook looked golden at the beginning. Fast forward to where we are now, and he just doesn’t have that same flair to him. The whole Raiders offense has been disappointing, and you can add Cook to that list this week. They take on the Cardinals this week, a team that doesn’t give up many points to the tight end position.
Jim’s Pick - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals. Over the last month Andy Dalton has been the 31st QB in fantasy scoring and he has taken this offense down with him. Mixon has not topped 65 yards rushing in 3 out of his last 4 games. The 4th game was an excellent game where he roasted Tampa Bay with 138 yards from scrimmage and 2 touchdowns. But that was Tampa Bay. This week he faces a Baltimore defense that kept him under 10 PPR fantasy points in Week 2 in Cincinnati, but should be able to do even more at home this week.
Brian’s Pick - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints. I see the Eagles showing up to play in this one. They'll be stingy against the run especially if they get back Timmy Jernigan. This is going to be a passing bonanza. The Eagles secondary is a mess. I love Kamara in this one, Ingram not so much.
Steve’s Pick - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers. I don’t like this matchup for Keenan Allen. Per Rich Hribar in Rotoworld’s Worksheet, in Allen’s six regular season games against the Broncos, he’s averaged only 4.3 receptions for 39.5 yards per game. He will be matched up against Chris Harris often, who happens to be one of the best slot corners in the game, and I that leads me to believe it’s going to be tough sledding for Allen in Week 11.
Ryan’s Pick – Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars. He had a very strong week in his first game back from injuries, but I don’t see it again. The Steelers have a pretty solid defense, and should put their focus on stopping Fournette as the Jags pass game has been subpar this year. I’m not saying I would sit Fournette if I owned him, but I wouldn’t be starting him with a lot of confidence.
Would you prefer Maurice Harris, Courtland Sutton or Christian Kirk for Week 11?
Steve’s Pick – Christian Kirk. Yuck. I don’t necessarily like any of them this week, but if I’m going with one, I’m leaning Christian Kirk. The offense seems to be playing better under new offensive coordinator, Byron Leftwich, and I think they will be able to keep that going this week against a Raiders team who has appeared to give up on the season.
Kacey’s Pick - Courtland Sutton. First and foremost, I have a football crush on this dude. Don’t tell my fiancée. But seriously, this guy has been very consistent this year. He’s coming off a bye week, so he’s fresh. Some people may have even dropped him due to being on a bye week (come on y’all, that’s a no-no). Demaryius Thomas is no longer there, so those targets have to go somewhere. I like him to score big versus the Chargers.
Jim’s Pick - I am going to go with Christian Kirk out of this bunch in Week 11. I know he was a total dud last week, but he still managed 6 targets. He has seen at least 6 targets in each of his last 4 games. Arizona is at home against an Oakland team that has pretty much given up. I expect Josh Rosen steps up and Kirk is on track for at least a double-digit score, with a chance at a touchdown.
Brian’s Pick - If you want upside you play Courtland Sutton. If you want a solid floor you play Maurice Harris. In a PPR Harris will get you 10 points. If you really need that 20pt chance then go for Sutton. The Broncos are taking shots to him and if he connects its points for days.
Ryan’s Pick – Christian Kirk. I really like Harris, but his offense is meddling. I really like Sutton but I don’t love the QB. I am going with Christian Kirk for two reasons. One, the offense is improving since the change at offensive coordinator. And second, the matchup. The Raiders are just absolutely awful. Larry Fitzgerald has been getting the targets, but I think there will be enough to go around for Kirk this week as well too.
Which Quarterback will have the better week? Ryan Fitzpatrick or Eli Manning
Brian’s Pick - Ryan Fitzpatrick. Give me Fitzpatrick this week. I can never in good faith start Eli Manning. He's sloppy, turnover prone, and looks lost. OK he's basically an older Fitzpatrick. Give me Fitz with no running game and a coach fighting for his job. He'll throw for 400 this week.
Steve’s Pick – Ryan Fitzpatrick. As bad as the Bucs defense has been, Fitz is still the play here. He’s thrown for over 400 yards in four of the five games he’s played from bell to bell this year, and Tampa’s lack of anything even closely resembling a decent running game leads me to believe they are going to keep chucking the ball around the field. Fitz > Eli in Week 11.
Kacey’s Pick - Eli Manning. I mean, really… do I have to choose? If I am going to, I will choose Eli. I had a feeling at the beginning of the week that he’d be one of my streamers, but then I got cold feet on it. Still, he has Odell Beckham Jr. there which always helps when it comes to fantasy (and real life too… as a Cowboys fan, that hurts). Fitzmagic has been Fitztragic one too many times for me this season. Yes, Eli does what Eli does. He hasn’t been as bad this season in fantasy terms if you take a look at his point totals. He had 19.5 points in PPR settings when the Giants beat San Francisco. Now he gets to take on a poor Buccaneers defense, so I expect him to do relatively well this week.
Jim’s Pick – Ryan Fitzpatrick. Eli is just stupid enough to try and get another meaningless win against Tampa Bay this week, but while the matchup points to the opportunity for a big game for him, I just, as a lifelong Giants’ fan, can’t bet on him. You just never know what Eli you are going to get until he throws his first pass. Because of those doubts, and many more, I am going with Fitzmagic. Depending on your league scoring he managed to score over 20 fantasy points without even throwing a TD. This week he should put up multiple TDs and close to 300 yards in this one.
Ryan’s Pick – Eli Manning. This season should have never been this way. Eli should have been a player you can use. He showed you on Monday night he can still exploit bad defenses, and Tampa is one of the worst. I think Eli has more talent on his offense, and Tampa’s defense is worse than New York’s so in this battle I’m going with Mr. Manning.
Rest of season do you like Dion Lewis or Derrick Henry better?
Kacey’s Pick – Derrick Henry. He has shown us the last few weeks what he can do. Over the last three weeks, Henry has at least one touchdown a game. He could be considered touchdown dependent, but there are many players out there that are also dependent on scores. His schedule doesn’t scare me, and I feel he’s going to keep this up. Dion Lewis is a good flex play every now and then, but I’d roll Henry.
Jim’s Pick – Dion Lewis. There has been a spark of life in Derrick Henry in his last 3 games with 4 touchdowns, but the yardage continues to be low. He has only averaged just over 50 yards from scrimmage a game. This is the epitome of touchdown dependent. Meanwhile Lewis continues to be more involved in the passing game and over those same 3 games he has 345 yards from scrimmage, 12 receptions and a touchdown. To me this is not even a conversation.
Steve’s Pick – Dion Lewis. Derrick Henry may have four touchdowns over the last three weeks, but Dion Lewis is still the Titans back to own. Henry hasn’t been on the field for more than 34% of the snaps in any of the last three weeks and Lewis has out-touched him 64-33 over that span. Lewis catches more passes as well, so David takes down Goliath in this week’s battle of Tennessee running backs.
Brian’s Pick - Dion Lewis. This isn't even a legit question. Dion Lewis is the focal point of the Titans offense. Henry is lucky to get a goal line touch. His scores the past two weeks are total flukes. Give me Dion Lewis all day, everyday.
Ryan’s Pick – Dion Lewis. If you are in a non-PPR league this one is a little closer, but either way I like Lewis. He is a much more versatile player, and can gain yards in a variety of ways, and even if you don’t get points per reception, you still get receiving yardage. Henry is more of a straight ahead guy and hope the offensive line does its job. Right now either one is worth a flex play, but if I had to choose one or the other I’m going with Lewis.