Week 12 Roundtable
Welcome to the Fighting Chance Roundtable! Each week we will be asking our panel of Fighting Chance Staff a series of questions for the upcoming slate of NFL games. Each person will give you the best answer to the question in order to help set your lineups this week, both season long and DFS. This week we have myself (@fightingchance), Steve Rapin (@fantasygeek37), Jim Day (@fantasytaz),Kacey Kasem (@thekaceykasem), Brian Drake (@drakefantasy). Give them a follow them on Twitter and enjoy the Week 11 Roundtable!
Sleeper of the Week
Drake Says – Bruce Ellington, WR, Detroit Lions. There is no Marvin Jones this week and since joining the club Ellington was immediately thrust into a major role. 24% target share last week and 6 catches I like him to be used underneath and catch 7 balls vs the Bears on Turkey day.
Steve Says - Baker Mayfield, QB, Cleveland Browns. I love this matchup for Baker Mayfield. He has had an extra week to prepare for the worst overall, and 31st ranked pass defense in the league. AJ Green potentially coming back just makes it more appealing as Cincinnati should be able to score enough to keep Mayfield throwing the ball. He’s thrown for multiple touchdowns in four straight weeks and should be able to keep it going this week in a dream matchup.
Kacey Says - Mohamed Sanu, WR, Atlanta Falcons. This week, the Falcons take on the red-hot New Orleans Saints. You’re probably wondering why I’m choosing a WR3 as my sleeper this week, but hear me out. He has been targeted a whopping 19 times over the last three games. Even though he hasn’t scored since week six, I feel like he is due one soon. What better time to get a touchdown than on Thanksgiving. And although he may not score a touchdown, he will be on the field a lot. He plays a majority of the snaps, so there are plenty of opportunities for him to get the ball and fantasy points.
Jim Says - Josh Adams, RB, Philadelphia Eagles. Adams is coming off his best game as a pro, scoring over 16 fantasy points in PPR leagues. This week he gets the Giants who have been bad against the run since they traded away Damon Harrison. The Giants have allowed just under 5 yards a carry, 6 touchdowns and over 150 yards a game to the position since they lost Harrison. Even though he continues to see limited touches, he should be able to turn those touches into a nice fantasy score.
Ryan Says – Willie Snead, WR, Baltimore Ravens. Six of the last seven games Snead has had five catches or more. He might not have 100 yard games and he hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1, but I like a guy who is getting so many targets and receptions. Going against the absolute vomit inducing Raiders defense, I think Snead could have his best game to date.
Bust of the Week
Jim Says - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos. Sanders has been pretty quiet the last 3 games with only 14receptions for 160 yards and no touchdowns. He has lead the team in snaps over the last month but he has been out-targeted by TE Jeff Heuerman and Courtland Sutton has more receiving yards. This week he goes up against a Pittsburgh defense that hasn’t allowed an opposing wide receiver over 58 yards since Week 6. Pittsburgh is playing too well right now and Case Keenum isn’t. Find another option
Kacey Says - Adrian Peterson, RB, Washington Redskins. Adrian Peterson has been a surprise this season, but I think he’s going to have a poor fantasy game this contest. He is up against a Dallas Cowboys defense that has only allowed four rushing touchdowns to running backs this year. That doesn’t bode well for the Washington running back. I don’t see him scoring, and I don’t see him going over 80-yards. It’s going to be a rough Thanksgiving for All Day.
Steve Says - Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots. People are going to be itching to get Gronk back in their lineups, but make sure to temper expectations. The Jets give up the fewest receptions to tight ends per game (2.6) and with the Patriots being big favorites, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Gronk struggle as the Pats utilize the rushing attack a bit more. Throw in his questionable health and I’m avoiding him where possible in Week 11.
Drake Says - Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens. I just don't trust any QB who completes 13 passes in a game and is all about the run. Oh by the way he's maybe 160lbs. This is a Tim Tebow game plan and it's not going to work. He's a bust this week even vs a horrid Oakland defense.
Ryan Says – Corey Davis, WR, Tennessee Titans. After an amazing Week 10, Davis was a tire fire in Week 11, but that was because of the offense sucked. I don’t know if Marcus Mariota is going to play on Monday night or not, but even if he does, I’m not huge on Davis. If it is Blaine Gabbert, I think you even have to sit Davis. He is talented, but the offense is so up and down, and that is because of the inconsistency at quarterback. Sorry Corey Davis, but I just can’t trust you this week.
Which rookie Wide Receiver do you think will finish the season best? Tre’Quan Smith, Anthony Miller, or Calvin Ridley
Steve’s Pick – Anthony Miller. One thing I value is consistency and I think Anthony Miller will be the most consistent receiver in this group. Smith and Ridley have flashed their upside, but I think they each have lower floors than Miller, who has surprisingly scored five touchdowns on the season, including one in each of the last two weeks.
Kacey’s Pick - Anthony Miller. This rookie gets targeted in the red-zone a lot. For two weeks in a row, he’s managed to score a touchdown, and I have a feeling he’s going to keep scoring. He’s been a reliable weapon for Mitchell Trubisky, and with Allen Robinson taking WR1 duties, Miller has the chance to feast the rest of the way.
Jim’s Pick – Tre’Quan Smith. Ridley, Miller and Smith is a tougher question. Ridley has fallen far after his quick start to the season, while both Miller and Smith are coming off more recent success. Smith has his best game of the season in Week 11 with 10 receptions, 157 yards and a touchdown. Miller does have 3 touchdowns in his last 4 games, but with the injury to Trubisky, I would have to go with Smith. Drew Brees and the Saints are playing at an extremely high level right now and I want a piece of it.
Drake’s Pick – Calvin Ridley. To me these are all boom or bust options. I don't really trust anyone of them. IF I had to play one it would be Calvin Ridley. He's a threat to score and he's the second option in the offense. The other two have LOTS more mouths to feed.
Ryan’s Pick - Anthony Miller. I’m ALL OVER Anthony Miller! I like Smith as well, but he has been very boom or bust. Miller and Trubisky clearly have formed a connection over the last month, and while he was getting very limited targets earlier in the season, things have been getting better. Yes, I know he only had three targets last week, but he made the most of them and scored. Any of these guys are useable down the stretch, but my favorite is definitely Miller.
Which rookie running back do you think will finish the season best? Sony Michel, Nick Chubb, or Phillip Lindsay
Kacey’s Pick - Phillip Lindsay. He’s been so amazing this season, and that’s something we didn’t see coming. Lindsay ended up with two touchdowns last week versus the Chargers, and I can see this trend continuing into the future (maybe not two touchdowns a game, but a lot of scoring). Not only that, he’s been looking very good when it comes to catching passes. His schedule looks favorable, and I think he’ll be the rookie you want on your roster.
Drake’s Pick – Nick Chubb. All three backs are really good. The biggest factor is are they sharing the ball. Michel and Lindsay are Chubb is not. I like Chubb to dominate touches in the Cleveland backfield and continue to be a monster after contact. He's a league winner.
Jim’s Pick – Nick Chubb. Michel is just too much of an injury concern, or I would love to go with him. Lindsay and Chubb are very close in value, but as Chubb showed in Week 10 against Atlanta he has more upside with his 209 yard from scrimmage and 2 touchdown performance. Chubb also gets a bad Bengals defense 2 more times, including championship week.
Steve’s Pick – Nick Chubb. I love Nick Chubb with all my heart. It’s not because I have had him on my Devy league roster for years, but it’s because…well, it’s because I’ve had him on my Devy league roster for years. In reality, he has averaged almost 20 rushing attempts per game, has shown explosiveness and the ability to break tackles, and he plays the Broncos and Bengals in the fantasy playoffs, both of whom are bottom six rush defenses in 2018. And he’s on my Devy team roster…
Ryan’s Pick – Sony Michel. Again, all of these guys are great. If you have any of them on your roster, congrats. If you have more than one, you are set to go in the playoffs. None of these guys are overly involved in the pass game, but they are all studs. Michel wasn’t great his first game back from injury, but if you look at the three games he had before going down, he was getting on a huge roll. I expect that to pick back up this week against the Jets and he will be a fantasy darling as we get into the fantasy playoffs. Major man crush here for My Michel.
Which running back would you like to have on your roster most? Gus Edwards, Royce Freeman or Doug Martin
Jim’s Pick – Gus Edwards. Royce Freeman, Gus Edwards and Doug Martin is another story. None has really stood out until Edwards got the bulk of the carries in Week 11 and rushed for 115 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries. There is no guarantee that he continues to see the bigger shares of carries, but based on the possibility I like his chances more than the rest. Baltimore is still in the playoff hunt and Edwards has a pretty good schedule ahead. He’s got the Raiders, Falcons, Chiefs, Buccaneers and Chargers. I like his chances to produce.
Steve’s Pick - Doug Martin. I’m going to go with volume in this one and I think Doug Martin gets the most of this trio. He’s averaged almost five yards per carry since taking over for Marshawn Lynch and while Jalen Richard has been active in the receiving game, I think Martin gets enough volume to out-perform the others.
Drake’s Pick – Gus Edwards. Ugh, I just coughed up some stuffing. This is disgusting. Martin is banged up, Freeman can't unseat Lindsay, so I'm going to go with the guy who just installed my new furnace, Gus Edwards. Who the hell is this guy? Whoever he is, he's in my lineups going forward.
Kacey’s Pick - Doug Martin. If you asked me at the beginning of the season if I’d ever be talking positively about Doug Martin, I would have laughed in your face. Now, I feel comfortable saying I would take him over the other two running backs listed here. As long as he can stay healthy, I think you’ll be able to depend on him down the stretch. DeAndre Washington is supposed to get more work (but do we ever really trust what coaches say?), and Jalen Richard is there as the pass-catching back. Don’t think that’s going to hinder him, as you saw what Marshawn Lynch could do with other running backs around him. I still like Doug Martin for the rest of the season, especially for flex consideration. I’ll still say he’s not very good, but I think he can still get the job done.
Ryan’s Pick – Gus Edwards. I don’t know what to expect out of Edwards after he had a huge game against the Bengals, but I do know one thing. I am NOT going to get one of those games out of Freeman or Martin. Martin sucks, and Freeman is so far behind Phillip Lindsay in order for touches it’s not even funny. Edwards has to contend with Alex Collins, but I don’t think the Ravens are married to Collins and if Edwards can have another game anything near he did last week, and I think he can carve himself out a role for the end of the season.