Player Props: Week 10
I had another three wins in Week 9 which brings my season long record to 30 wins and 22 losses. Good, but not great and I’m hoping to improve on my 57% winning percentage. I’m satisfied with my process. I mean, Josh Downs just missed out on his over 65.5 receiving yards prop and I was correct in calling him Joe Flacco’s favorite receiver but until I have a five win week, I won’t be satisfied. I’ve got five more player prop bets that I like this week that I’m willing to share with you.
Please remember that gambling is super risky and you should only use funds that you can afford to lose.
George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers
Over 4.5 receptions
Kittle has caught at least five receptions in his last four games and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have given up the fourth most receptions (55) to TEs this season. Their ability to contain TEs has gotten worse as the season have progressed because they’ve given up the most receptions (39) to the position over the past five weeks. Sounds like a match made in heaven.
Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints
Over 5.5 receptions
Kamara has had at least six receptions in five of his last games and in his Week 4 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, who he’ll be facing again in Week 10, he had seven receptions. His performance against the Falcons isn’t surprising since they’ve given up the most receptions (34) to RBs over the past five weeks and the third most (54) to the position for the season. The Saints’ receivers are all banged up and they desperately need a win. Kamara may be the Saints’ only hope in Week 10 and he’ll be heavily used in both their running and passing game against the Falcons.
Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets
Over 69.5 rushing yards
Hall has rushed for at least 70 yards in three of his last four games and he’s averaged 5 YPC during that time span. He has a very good matchup against the Arizona Cardinals who’ve given up the seventh most rushing yards (1002) to RBs this season and 4.64 YPC to the position over the past five weeks.
CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys
Under 65.5 yards
The Cowboys are reeling. QB Dak Prescott is done for the season (hamstring surgery). His backup, Cooper Rush, has the unpleasant task of starting against the Philadelphia Eagles, who have given up the fourth fewest passing yards (1,666) this season. To top it off, Lamb, his best receiver, is dealing with a shoulder injury. It sounds like it’s going to be a long afternoon for Rush, Lamb and the Cowboys. Lamb will have less than 66 yards receiving in Week 10.
D’Andre Swift, RB, Chicago Bears
Over 73.5 yards rushing
This might be the last time I recommend betting on a Swift rushing prop if he fails me again this week. Last week I thought he’d rush for more than 67.5 yards and he only ran for 51. This week he’s got a great matchup against the New England Patriots who have given up the most rushing yards (790) to RBs over the past five weeks and the second most to the position for the season. Swift turned his season around after Week 4 and I think he has a good chance to turn things around and bounce back against the Pats in Week 10.